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This interview with Neil Gaiman is amazing if you like his stories and his comics and his movies, but it was this section that really stood out to me in terms of really defining the iPad/Kindle phenomenon. The truth is, this might be the first paradigm shift in computing that I’ve seen driven by the elderly. In most seismic shifts it is the young that are the early adopters because they have less invested in the status quo, and fewer preconceptions about the way the world works.
My parents got an iPad before I did. All of their friends did the same. The leap forward is that it breaks down the barriers to entry for content so well. Gaiman’s quote about being able to slice and dice content to fit your needs is really what the strength of these devices is. And that’s why I think Amazon’s Kindle is the first real viable competitor to the iPad.
First, even after the iPad debuted and before Amazon dropped their prices, the Kindle was still selling briskly. Second, now that they’ve got the Kindle Fire allowing applications, and Amazon has provided a quality check on what goes into their version of the Android store, the Kindle’s lower price means you’re not giving up too much in terms of quality to get a tablet that is not Apple related. Finally, Amazon’s content (movies, music, books, store for physical items) means you now have a compelling ecosystem for your Kindle Fire to play in.
The other big wildcard that may be a game changer in Amazon’s favor is if the Kindle/Android platform can play better with Windows 8 than the iPad. If you say Windows 8 reduces a lot of the desktop clutter and headache that Windows users report on a daily basis, and the Kindle Fire becomes a better Windows to tablet experience than the iPad, then you can envision a scenario where Microsoft actually starts reclaiming some of the ground it ceded to Apple over the last decade.